Monday 22 April 2019

{الفكر القومي العربي} Re: What is next for Egypt ?


شكرا
بتاريخ الاثنين، 22 أبريل، 2019 2:40:19 ص UTC+2، كتب samia dr harris:

After Sisi's horrific failure of getting out Egyptians to vote to change the current Egyptian Constitution even under bribes with food , money and a huge campaign done by his media machine, Sisi's embarrassment will not stop him from falsifying the results as usual. This is not the first time Sisi and his system have played this game , he has done it every time he wanted to force something on the Egyptians and buy the silence of the world corrupted leaders. 

Sisi will pass the alteration of the Constitution to suit his need and the needs of countries that supports Sisi blindly and absolutely as either their need match or dictate Sisi's agenda.

What will happen after the alteration of the Constitution is everyone's guess but I think may be Sisi bit more than he could with this grave move , as I feel Egypt is shaken the same shake as right before the January 25th Revolution , I can feel it in the air and that is not just wishful thinking.

I see every day the international analysis and observation is turning very much against Sisi, Have you read Wall Street Journal, New York Times , Washington Post, the Guardian lately ?  A day does not pass without an article showing Sisi's failure and abuse of power. Sisi's economic disaster is also scary to say the least.

Sisi's three cards to stay in power are being over used, to fight terrorism, to stop illegal immigration and to bring the Palestinians to the 21 century deal. Even after 5 years of full power, total destruction of Egypt , Sisi has not succeed to deliver the most important promise which is the Palestinians.

The Saudis and Golf have spent billions on Sisi and his system yet the results are revolutions else where. Sudan and Algeria are giving them a run for their money, Yemen has been a total disaster and Libya has not been to their liking.There have been other movements in Africa. 

The Egyptian opposition is getting stronger and louder and inside Egypt with all the force used against freedom of speech and the illegal emergency law, Egyptians are still braving the streets with challenging signs refusing the military occupation.

I feel that Egypt is boiling and ready to revolt one more time. I do hope this time will be the one that will take. The one that will get the Egyptians what they want , not just freedom, bread and equal rights, I think there will be more demand to put the military under civilian control as now Egyptians can ready see the separation between the people and military branches with all their forces and head is number one priority for Egyptians to gain a civil ruling over their country.

I do hope when it happens this time that it will be peaceful as I fear Egyptian patience has expired not only against the military but also the police, the religious bodies, the judicial system and all the heads of the government starting with what is so called Parliament. Can you imagine 100 million angry Egyptians against a couple of millions who are benefiting from the current regime ? During January 2011 revolution we bought into the idea of keeping the bodies of the government intact , that led us to keep the military , the police, the judicial system as they were but I do not believe the Egyptians will fall for that one more time.

Are there any other scenarios that can save the country ? Most likely but it will need very cool heads and wise women and men to make it happen such as forcing Sisi to step down, for the military generals to take steps back and hand the country to civilian transitional counsel  which we called for from the beginning.

Only time will tell but I hope not a long time as I fear for Egypt. 

Samia Harris. April 21, 2019.

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